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Welcome to the Fight Night 10 Preview and Predictions. I think this show will answer the question, what is the bottom of the barrel for Fight Nights ratings. This show has no hype or promotion and no stars familiar to its mainstream audience. I see some great looking matchups on this card but nothing that says a lot of people will tune in. Im a fan of Jon Fitch for example but he doesnt mean anything to a majority of the fans who will decide whether or not theyre going to watch this show.
The card is made up of mostly Lightweight and Welterweight matchups and is filled with men who are making their first appearance in the UFC.

Lightweight Bout (Dark):
Luke Lil Hulk Caudillo: 26, 57, 156, 15-7-0
Vs.
Nate Mohr: 24, 59, 155.5, 6-4-0

Caudillo is making his UFC debut while Nate Mohr is making his second appearance after being defeated by Kurt Pellegrino at Fight Night 9 back on April 5. Mohrs profile is kind of bland, but from this I did learn he likes to keep the fight standing. He didnt do much on the ground with Pellegrino before he was submitted in his UFC debut.
Looking at Caudillo, he lists wrestling striking and ground and pound as strengths. He could be full of himself, but his profile answers would not indicate this. I think that both men will look to keep this one standing but that if Caudillo finds himself losing the stand-up battle he could look to go to the mat. Given this, I think Caudillo is going to win just because I think he has more possible gameplans. He also has an experience edge.
Winner: Luke Caudillo

Welterweight Bout (Dark):
Chad The Grinder Reiner: 25, 511, 171, 13-2-0
Vs.
Anthony Rumble Johnson: ??, 62, 170, 3-0-0

Anthony Johnson is a very late replacement for Reiners original opponent Steve Brono. As I write this, his UFC.com profile is super-secret and cant be viewed so I dont have much to go on. I do know that Reiner is coming off of a decision loss to Josh Burkman and that he considers himself to be a submission fighter.
I used to be afraid to pick guys who take fights on short notice. The more I think about it, the less I think it is a factor. More guys are training full-time these days and so I dont think it is the same as coming in right off of the streets. However, just because of knowledge or lack of it, Im going to go with Reiner to take the fight probably with a submission. Give Johnson credit for taking this fight on a couple weeks notice if even that much.
I must note that Chad Reiner and Jeff Cox both have The Grinder as a nickname. Im afraid that if this continues it will be added to the banned list next to assassin. Oh, and one of my older brothers is named Chad so there is that also.
Winner: Chad Reiner

Lightweight Bout (dark):
Jeff The Grinder Cox: 38, 64, 155, 13-3-0
Vs.
Gleison Tibau: 23, 510, 155.5, 24-3-0

Jeff Cox aside from sharing a nickname with Chad Reiner stands out for another few reasons. His age is 38 years old and as I watch MMA the less I think age is a factor. I dont think that Chuck Liddell lost to Rampage because of the fact Jackson is 9 years younger. In a sport that is more about technique than anything else you can be successful for quite a long time because speed will fail you long before technique will and as time passes in MMA technique becomes more of a factor with the better quality of training.

Im a little worried about Cox because of what he lists as his strengths:

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Coaches, training partners, and a facility that are world class

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All of those are important, dont get me wrongbut your great facility isnt coming in to the Octagon with you.

Tibau isnt really that colorful in his answers, but he does list BJJ as a strength which will actually come in to the Octagon with him. Tibau has 2 UFC fights under his belt, a victory over Jason Dent at UFC 68 and a loss to Nick Diaz at UFC 65. Cox is making his UFC debut.
I dont care enough about this show in general to do more research to find out how these men have won or lost fights Im only going to go with what I know. I know Wade has had success in the past predicting winners via win and loss record, so given that
Winner: Gleison Tibau

Welterweight Bout (Dark):
Tamdan The Barn Cat McCrory: 20, 64, 169.5, 9-0-0
Vs.
Pete The Secret Weapon Spratt: 36, 59, 170.5, 16-8-0

Three things about this fight.
1. Thanks to Tamdan McCrory for having an original nickname.
2. Tamdan is a great name overall.
3. Pete Spratt does nothing for me as a fight fan.
Winner: Tamdan McCrory

Welterweight Bout (Dark):
Luigi Fiorvanti: 26, 58, 170.5, 11-3-0
Vs.
Forrest The Meat Cleaver Petz: 31, 510, 169.5, 18-4-0

Remember how in the last fight I said that Spratt does nothing for me as a fight fan? See, Petz, Forrest. One thing I will give him though is that Im curious about why hes nicknamed the Meat Cleaver. His answer to this question doesnt provide any info:

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What was your job before you started fighting? I still work in purchasing for Halifax, a company that sells industrial supplies.

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I say that hes done nothing for me as a fight fan but thats not really fair to him because it isnt as though Ive seen him fight very much. I have however seen Spratt quite a bit which is why his fight got very little wordplay.
Luigi Fioravanti on the otherhand is also someone whom Ive not seen a lot of but I do know hes fought at both middleweight and Welterweight. I also know that both of these men are coming off of losses in their last UFC fights and that for Petz it is 2 losses in a row. Fioravanti doesnt think much of his opponent though judging by this answer:

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Thoughts on opponent, Forrest Petz? He is a tough fighter.

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Well, there you have it. However, Im going to pick Fioravanti because he served in the Marines and those guys are tough.
Winner: Luigi Fioravanti

Lightweight Bout (Dark):
Jason Black: 34, 58, 155.5, 22-2-1
Vs.
Thiago Tavares: 22, 57, 156, 15-0-0

A few interesting things are to be learned about Jason Black who is making his UFC debut on this show.

First of all, I wonder if this guy knows Walter Radar ORiley? Check out the hometown.

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Ottumwa, IA, USA

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This is where Radar ORiley was from as anyone who has ever watched M*A*S*H knows quite well.

His technique is at least something different:

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What is your favorite technique? "Go like hell"

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It actually reminds me of a very long car trip.

One last thing, may I suggest you not ride on a train while this guy is fighting.

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What was your job before you started fighting? Railroad Switchman, a job I still hold.

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I would also note that if you wonder why I hate college, this is what he does for a living but check out his answer to the prior question.

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Did you go to college and if so what degree did you earn? Yes, BA in Exercise Science

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Nothing like putting that degree to good use.

Moving on to Thiago Tavares. First of all, it sure seems like Thiago is becoming a more and more common name in the UFC and I am in no way surprised that at UFC 71 we had a man named Thiago Silva fighting. Thats like the Joe Smith of Brazilian names I think.

I think Jason Black is in trouble just by looking at this answer:

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DESCRIBE A TYPICAL DAY OF TRAINING: In the morning I run on the dunes and do my physical training; at about 12:00 pm I train Muay Thai, and at night I train Jiu-Jitsu and MMA.

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I love the running on the Dunes part, it makes me think of Star Wars. That reminds me, Emperor Palpetine would kick every MMA fighter in the worlds assall at once. Favorite techniqueforce lightning, Biatch. I could only see him losing if they installed a nuclear reactor in the Octagon.
Im rambling cause I dont have much to say about this one. Im going to pick Thiago Tavares to win just because Anderson Silva would probably also pick him to win.
Winner: Thiago Tavares

Middleweight Bout:
Jordan Radev: 31, 57, 184.5, 16-1-0
Vs.
Drew McFedries: 28, 60, 185, 5-2-0

Radev is making his UFC debut and he says all the right things. Not only did he not go to college which is a plus in my book, but Euan will appreciate the fact he did not reveal his favorite technique. A couple of answers jumped out at me

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Thoughts on opponent, Drew McFedries? He seems like a serious opponent; I hope it gets to be a good fight that will appeal to the crowd.

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Im not sure what McFedries sense of humor or lack of it has to do with the fight but thats why Ive never been in the cage I guess.

However, I immediately love this man for this answer

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Do you have any heroes? I am my own personal hero

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Anyone who admits to being his own hero is cool in my booksaccept for Ric Gillespie, hes still misguided.

I disagree with Radev on one thing, I think McFedries has a fantastic sense of humor. His answer to this question made me laugh:

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When and why did you start training for fighting? I started fighting seven years ago because I thought the chances of me getting to fight a guy one on one was great. Where I come from, you usually get jumped or beat with something.

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Yes, some might consider that a rough lifeme, I consider it a reason to laugh.

McFedries seems to have a more well-rounded approach to MMA, but then again he didnt wrestle on the Bulgarian National and Olympic team and we know the Bulgarians are Olympic powers. My gut says that I should take McFedries especially since he was giving Martin Kampmann fits at UFC 68 until losing and even if Radevs wrestling is great, what will he do with the guy when hes got him down if he can get him that far? My gut says take McFedriesand so thats what Im going to do. I should note however, that I expect I could very easily be wrong.
Winner: Drew McFedries

Welterweight Bout:
Roan Jucao Carneiro: 29, 59, 170.5, 11-5-0
Vs.
Jon Fitch: 29, 60, 170.5, 18-2-0

Im very interested in this fight. This will be a tough test for Fitch and I think he knows it. Fitch has more to lose with a loss than does Carneiro. I like what Ive seen out of both these individuals however, and will be interested to see what happens. Fitch is 5-0 in the UFC and even has a victory over Brock Larson who seemed very charismatic on the last WEC show.

Fitch is also tough because well, check out this part of his answer to the question about his ranks and titles:

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MMA Mexico WW World Champ (won the belt in a one night eight man tourney, stopped all three opponents, and was sick with mono at the time).

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Euan will appreciate this answer:

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What is your favorite technique? Punch to face or kick to head, its a toss up between the two, but I have also been known to suplex opponents.

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Carneiro is not going to be an easy out by any means in this fight. Im going to go with Fitch but a Carneiro win would not shock me at all.
Winner: Jon Fitch

Lightweight Bout:
Spencer The King Fisher: 30, 57, 154, 20-3-0
Vs.
Sam Hands of Stone Stout: 23, 59, 155.5, 9-2-1

This is a UFC 58 rematch in which Stout was victorious via majority decision. Stout likes to keep things standing and what Ive seen out of Fisher suggests he doesnt have a problem with that either. I just remember back in January picking Fisher to defeat Hermes Franca at Fight Night 8 and having him let me down. This is very disappointing and for that, you must pay.
Winner: Sam Stout

Well, there you have it. This is more of a show preview than I intended to write for this one. I believe Art Shimko will be writing up a recap of this event, which is the first one Art his done in quite some time, so that should be something you all should be grateful for you ungrateful bastards. You can read his coverage here

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Well, Casey, if you must know, yes, Art is cute, but I don't think that was my original point. As for Art's explanation, I like lazy, so I may have to steal
that.

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Ric writing it in that way reminds me...

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Your theory of a donut shaped universe is intriguing, Homer. I may have to steal it.

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